Oil & Gas
Added Oct 29, 2020

Mediterranean road fuel flows in flux

Share this article
Vortexa Newsletter Subscribe and get Vortexa news straight to your inbox

In our latest insight we shine a spotlight on the net flows of diesel and gasoline within the Mediterranean region. We analyse the locations where we have started to see shifts in exports and imports - in the context of a recent uptick in regional Covid-19 cases and ongoing refinery maintenance work and run cuts.

Diesel/Gasoil flows

Mediterranean refiners are contending with an increasingly challenging operating environment. Demand for diesel, once considered the 'king of the barrel', is faltering in the region as another wave of Covid-19 cases triggers governments to implement new mobility restrictions. Preliminary data show the net diesel/gasoil import balance is narrowing again in October, for the third month running.

Mediterranean net imports of diesel/gasoil (b/d) 

 

  • Net diesel/gasoil imports for the Mediterranean (excluding intra-regional flows) stand at just below 500,000 b/d in October as of 28 October, marginally lower versus September, and down from 540,000 b/d from a year earlier. 
  • The net import total is comprised of around 638,000 b/d of diesel/gasoil arriving into Mediterranean ports during October, and offset by 142,000 b/d of exports from the region over the same period.
  • Given the rising numbers of Covid-19 cases in some of the largest Mediterranean diesel markets — namely Spain, Italy and France — total net imports for the region could fall further from current levels in coming weeks.
  • Weaker Mediterranean diesel import demand would likely hit refiners in Saudi Arabia, Russia and the US Gulf Coast (PADD 3) the hardest — the top three suppliers so far in October.

Gasoline/blending components flows

Unlike diesel, gasoline and its blending components are usually surplus products for the Mediterranean. Exports from this region typically head to west Africa and the US Atlantic Coast (PADD 1). But preliminary October data shows net gasoline flows (excluding intra-regional flows) to be closer parity than they have been in two years.

Mediterranean net exports of gasoline/blending components (b/d) 

  • Net gasoline/blending components exports stand at around 27,000 b/d in October, as of 28 October, down from around 100,000 b/d in September and an average of 135,000 b/d for the first nine months of this year. 

  • One driver for the much lower net export value in October is a jump in gasoline imports, especially from the ARA region. Mediterranean imports from the northwest European gasoline blending/storage hub almost reached 100,000 b/d in October — a level unseen since at least January 2016. Total Mediterranean gasoline imports in October reached just over 200,000 b/d in October, a multiyear high.
  • The largest Mediterranean importer of of ARA gasoline in October was Barcelona, followed by Las Palmas and Beirut. The rising imports, especially to Spanish ports aligns with ongoing/expected refinery shutdowns/turnarounds.
  • Notable Mediterranean refineries that have reportedly recently lowered or will lower gasoline output in the coming weeks include: Saras' Sarroch, Lukoil's Priolo, Repsol's (Petronor) Bilbao, Cepsa's Huelva and Hellenic's Aspropyrgos refineries.
  • Looking ahead, net flows of Mediterranean gasoline will likely remain under pressure given the lower production base, even despite a potential dip in domestic demand.

Want to know more about these flows?

Request a demo

The latest news

Sep 13, 2021
People & Culture
blog-events
name
Listing_Summary-Vortexa_July2019

We're excited to welcome Sabrina Gross to Vortexa as Head of Customer Success. Sabrina’s deep understanding of how to nourish customer relationships and transform transactional remote interactions into personalised engagements will significantly contribute to Vortexa’s continued success as global growth rapidly accelerates.

subscribe_insight-form
blog-tag
location
banner_bg
getintouch-section
post_body
Sep 6, 2021
People & Culture
blog-events
name
Listing_Summary-Vortexa_July2019

An extensively experienced Marketing, Sales and Operations leader, Sam will unlock immeasurable value for the market participants as Vortexa’s leading AI technology continues to advance and scale at unprecedented speed.

subscribe_insight-form
blog-tag
location
banner_bg
getintouch-section
post_body
Aug 27, 2021
People & Culture
blog-events
name
Listing_Summary-Vortexa_July2019

We sat down with Atin Kapur, Managing Director, APAC to find out what day-to-day life looks like, what significant milestones he has had at Vortexa, and what he really thinks of our company culture...

subscribe_insight-form
blog-tag
location
banner_bg
getintouch-section
post_body

Get in touch today for a free trial