LNG Special Report: Market strained by outages and rising Egyptian demand, subduing Asia spot activity
May LNG supply fell as outages and weak NE Asia demand closed Europe-Asia arbitrage. Europe’s storage refill & Egypt’s imports underpin spot prices.
13 June, 2025
Key Takeaways
- US and Malaysian outages offset supply growth, keeping May’s global LNG output 1.1 mt below last month
- Weak NE Asian demand closed the Europe-Asia arbitrage, leaving Europe’s storage refill needs as the main price support
- EU gas storage tops 50%; relaxed refill targets offer flexibility but summer imports must still rise by 2.5 mt (>30 cargoes) vs 2024
- Egypt’s growing LNG and fuel-oil demand adds competition for Atlantic Basin summer cargoes
- Shipping oversupply persists, with 60 vessels idle for over 40 days
- USTR compromise eases export-licence revocation risks, but compliance feasibility remains uncertain
